Insider Signals, Suspicious Timing, and the Information Edge – If you are researching how to win at prediction markets, you’ll mostly find generic advice: follow the news, diversify bets, think probabilities. That advice is incomplete.Because in real-world prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, the biggest edge isn’t better thinking. It’s better information – and sometimes, … Continue reading How to Win at Prediction Markets #1: Know the Market